Research Article of International Journal of Social Research
Study on the Impact of Climate Change on Regional Instability
Chenghang Cao1*, Zhang Liu2, Jiajin Lei3, Xiaoxiong Zuo2, Lei Liu2
1College of Economics and Management, China Three Gorges University, Yichang, 443002, China.
2College of Science, China Three Gorges University, Yichang, 443002, China.
3College of Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang, 443002, China.
In this paper we will discuss the problem on how the regional instability of a country can be affected by the climate change. Based on the data collected about the national vulnerabilities, we select fifteen indicators by the principal component analysis. A new three-level indicator system is then established to assess the country’s vulnerability. To obtain and optimize the weight for each indicator used at different levels, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Gray Relational Analysis (GRA) are used. Based on this work, a measurement system including the climate, economic, security, politics and human development is set up to measure the vulnerability of the country.
Keywords:Climate change; Regional instability; Three-level indicator system
How to cite this article:
Chenghang Cao, Zhang Liu, Jiajin Lei, Xiaoxiong Zuo, Lei Liu. Study on the Impact of Climate Change on Regional Instability. International Journal of Social Research, 2019; 3:27. DOI:10.28933/ijsr-2019-05-2008
1. Bohle H G, Vulnerability and criticality: Perspectives from social geography[J]. IHDP Update,20 01, 2(1): 3-5.
2. Burke M , Dykema J , Lobell D B , et al. Incorporating Climate Uncertainty into Estimates of Climate Change Impacts[J]. Review of Economics & Statistics, 2013, 97(2):461-471.
3. Dell M , Jones B F , Olken B A . What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature[J]. Nber Working Papers, 201 3, 52(3):págs. 740-798.
4. Hsiang, S. M . Temperatures and cyclones strongly associated with economic production in the Caribbean and Central America[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 201 0, 107(35):15367-15372.
6. Burke M, Hsiang S M, Miguel E. Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production[J]. Nature, 2015, 527(7577):235.
7. Burke M B , Miguel E , Satyanath S , et al. Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2009, 10 6(49):20670-20674.
8. Cane M A , Miguel E , Burke M , et al. Temperature and violence[J]. Nature Climate Change, 2014, 4(4):234-235.
10. “ https://carleton.ca/cifp/failed-fragile-states/”
11. Burke M , Hsiang S M , Miguel E . Climate and Conflict[J]. Annual Review of Economics, 2014, 7(1):150514143328009.
This work and its PDF file(s) are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.